Should We Sell in May, and Go Away?
05.16.2024 The adage “sell in May and go away” has been kicking around Wall Street for decades, […]
How Overvalued is the S&P 500?
By Jack Ablin, Chief Investment Officer. Subscribe for weekly market updates. 5.8.2024 The S&P 500’s value is a […]
What Is the Bond Market Telling Us?
5.1.2024 The US bond market is a great storyteller from a quantitative perspective. The bond market weighs […]
Strong Dollar is a Double-Edged Sword
4.25.2024 The US dollar continues to climb: since the beginning of 2021, it has gained 18 per […]
Explaining Gold’s Rally
4.18.2024 Gold prices have surged to record highs in recent weeks, with June futures hitting $2,416 per […]
Will Ambitious Expectations Stand Up to Impending Scrutiny?
4.10.2024 Earnings season, like the end of a scholastic semester, is when corporate report cards are issued. […]
Q1/24 Recap: Markets Kept Calm and Carried On
4.3.2024 Strong performance permeated US financial markets in the first quarter of 2024, driven by resilient economic […]
Magnificent Seven Under Fundamental Siege
3.27.2024 Mega-cap tech companies Apple, Google, and Meta are facing increased regulatory scrutiny and legal challenges in […]
Five Factors for Evaluating Today’s Market
3.20.2024 Gauging the market is difficult. Data is everywhere and finding a time series to support your […]
Will Productivity Growth Allow Us to Have Our Cake and Eat It, Too?
3.14.2024 Despite rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions, the US stock market has reached new all-time highs: […]
If the US Economy Is Doing So Great, Why Are Americans So Glum?
3.6.2024 The US economy is a standout in global terms. While China and Europe struggle to regain […]
Passive Funds Have Overtaken Actively Managed Funds – Now What?
2.29.2024 – Assets in passively managed funds surpassed those in actively managed funds for the first time […]
Direct Lending a Foil for ‘Higher for Longer’
2.22.2024 2024: the year when Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve were expected to slash overnight interest […]
Market Broadening Will Likely Resume in 2H/24
2.14.2024 Last November, the market’s narrative shifted owing to Chairman Powell’s pronouncement implying the Fed had achieved […]
Commercial Real Estate Distress Won’t Infect the Banking System
2.9.2024 The commercial real estate (CRE) market, particularly office buildings, is under severe strain and property values […]
Is Deep Investor Pessimism About China Warranted?
2.2.2024 Investors are hopelessly pessimistic about the outlook for China’s economy, and that view has been hard […]