One More, Then Done

03.23.2023 Wednesday afternoon, Chairman Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the overnight rate by […]
How Long Can Treasury Sustain its Budgetary High-Wire Act?

03.01.23 Last month, the US bumped up against its $31.4 trillion debt ceiling, prompting the Treasury Department […]
What Should the ‘New Normal’ Level for the 10-Year Treasury Be?

02.22.2023 Economic data plots from the last few years look like electrocardiographs. The pandemic-induced lockdowns of 2020 […]
Why the Theories of Sir Isaac Newton Matter to Investing

02.15.2023 To paraphrase Newton’s First Law of Motion, “A body in motion will remain in motion unless […]
Reading the Earnings Tea Leaves

02.02.2023 We’re in the busiest week of earnings season, looking out toward a year of uncertainty. If […]
A Closer Look at International Developed Equities

01.25.2023 International stock markets have been leading the way since the equity market bottom of last October. […]
Recap 2022 – Outlook 2023

01.04.2023 Last year was all about inflation and its knock-on effects. The Fed’s aggressive rate hikes ripped […]
How to Prepare for Endemic Inflation

11.14.2022 Investors were finally greeted with good news on the inflation front last week. The widely watched […]
Strategies for Investment Tax Independence

11.02.2022 Clearly, 2022 has been a lousy year for investors. We can blame interest rates two to […]
Q3 Earnings Will Show Damage from Rates, Inflation, Dollar

10.12.2022 Investors are nervous about Q3 earnings season, as evidenced by recent market volatility. Over the last […]
Rates Will Dictate Market Trends

10.04.2022 The market downturn this year has been one of the most orderly declines in memory. The […]
Strong Dollar Feedback Loop Hurts Top and Bottom Lines

09.28.2022 Market risk-takers are grappling with the double-barreled threat of persistent dollar strength and dramatically higher interest […]
Anatomy of a Drawdown

09.20.22 Stocks rise and stocks fall. The good news: historically, equity markets have generally risen in four […]
Dividend Stocks Back in the Limelight

09.07.22 Dividends, an underappreciated equity market attribute, are finally getting the attention they deserve. If you were […]
Drilling Down Into Europe’s Crisis

09.01.22 Labor Day marks the end of summer in the US. But families head home from the […]
The Market’s Bottom Depends on Credit Conditions

05.24.22: 2022 has been a remarkable year so far; not in a good way. The equity market […]